The path to Weimar Serbia? Explaining the resurgence of the Serbian far right after the fall of Milosevic

Abstract

A number of European countries are experiencing a rise in the blue-collar and ethnic majority vote for the ultra-nationalist far right. The situation seems particularly ominous in Serbia, where the far right is enjoying a resurgence of electoral support, coming close to capturing the presidency in 2004. This study analyses the results of five post-Milosevic elections and finds support for the argument that the majority’s economic vulnerability and a sense of ‘ethnic threat’ are the major contextual predictors of far right support. In light of the demonstrated ability of the Serbian far right to mobilize economically vulnerable sections of the population, implementation of neo-liberal economic reforms might unintentionally bring them to power. The maintenance and development of the welfare state might counteract the electoral appeal of authoritarian ultra-nationalists.