Human judgments of positive and negative causal chains

Abstract

Three experiments investigated the way participants construct causal chains from experience with the individual links that make up those chains. Participants were presented with contingency information about the relationship between events A and B, as well as events B and C, using trial-by-trial presentations. The A-B and B-C contingencies could be positive, negative, or zero. Although participants had never experienced A and C together, A-C ratings were a multiplicative function of the A-B and B-C contingencies. These findings can be generated by an auto-associator using the delta rule. This explanation is also useful for understanding sensory preconditioning and second-order conditioning.